Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 8.878836 10.159064 11.572839 13.252210 15.195738 17.377841 20.018567
2025-08-10 7.014801 8.636067 10.571284 13.059950 16.187783 20.004684 25.039965
2025-08-17 5.905294 7.660097 9.874806 12.891348 16.918205 22.143580 29.494891
2025-08-24 5.107127 6.909986 9.290406 12.688262 17.454438 23.961768 33.621502
2025-08-31 4.480883 6.284594 8.759886 12.438657 17.824967 25.512047 37.473515
2025-09-07 4.205891 6.098020 8.789154 12.941847 19.271087 28.688443 44.011269
2025-09-14 3.880140 5.794169 8.604548 13.089658 20.176991 31.127597 49.683885
2025-09-21 3.559661 5.459644 8.331282 13.057065 20.776097 33.124180 54.850719
2025-09-28 3.257351 5.119919 8.010808 12.904943 21.147884 34.766913 59.587541
2025-10-05 3.118386 5.021934 8.055383 13.337899 22.512166 38.169876 67.737736
2025-10-12 2.973663 4.898898 8.043719 13.667650 23.722153 41.418666 75.987602
2025-10-19 2.871573 4.835743 8.121930 14.152457 25.243183 45.361106 85.991960
2025-10-26 2.635204 4.526197 7.758956 13.831611 25.290088 46.653657 91.135783
2025-11-02 2.443737 4.278688 7.482244 13.638932 25.551843 48.370646 97.335258
2025-11-09 2.274390 4.055843 7.229122 13.462598 25.819605 50.114426 103.791090
2025-11-16 2.116561 3.840648 6.970986 13.249860 25.988467 51.668346 110.024600
2025-11-23 1.967230 3.629066 6.701625 12.988394 26.028278 52.953551 115.818879
2025-11-30 1.929857 3.625596 6.824403 13.515512 27.739911 57.908013 130.514883
2025-12-07 1.850008 3.533530 6.767748 13.670365 28.678338 61.299605 142.035706
2025-12-14 1.755050 3.404281 6.627090 13.636219 29.201445 63.826161 151.816936
2025-12-21 1.654263 3.255750 6.435974 13.476851 29.429175 65.704531 160.245683
2025-12-28 1.622608 3.245071 6.524697 13.930447 31.087348 71.070414 178.257524
2026-01-04 1.581627 3.211811 6.563383 14.275951 32.529602 76.084451 196.074740